Game Result Predictions
Sunday, February 17

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McKale Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Colorado
(12-18, Road 1-10)
51 55 +16.0 10% 126 51 +23.5 0%
Arizona
(24-13, Home 17-5)
63 71 -16.0 90% Actual:
114 (-12)
74 -23.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wells Fargo Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah
(20-10, Road 5-6)
58 62 +4.0 36% 128 55 +18.0 0%
Arizona State
(22-11, Home 11-4)
60 66 -4.0 64% Actual:
118 (-10)
73 -18.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Auburn Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama
(14-17, Road 3-7)
38 59 +13.0 14% 131 57 +15.0 0%
Auburn
(21-10, Home 9-5)
77 72 -13.0 86% Actual:
115 (-16)
72 -15.0 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hinkle Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Providence
(19-16, Road 6-8)
66 53 +12.0 16% 118 55 +6.5 9%
Butler
(23-10, Home 14-4)
63 65 -12.0 84% Actual:
129 (11)
62 -6.5 91%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wolstein Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Green Bay
(21-10, Road 8-6)
76 65 -13.0 86% 117 68 -20.0 100%
Cleveland State
(8-20, Home 5-7)
63 52 +13.0 14% Actual:
139 (22)
48 +20.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
University of Dayton Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
George Washington
(10-20, Road 4-9)
53 46 +16.0 10% 108 46 +15.0 1%
Dayton
(17-14, Home 13-1)
62 62 -16.0 90% Actual:
115 (7)
61 -15.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bob Carpenter Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Hofstra
(10-22, Road 4-10)
47 54 +12.0 16% 120 52 +15.0 0%
Delaware
(16-15, Home 8-6)
57 66 -12.0 84% Actual:
104 (-16)
67 -15.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Daskalakis Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northeastern
(20-12, Road 7-8)
45 55 +10.0 20% 120 54 +11.0 2%
Drexel
(24-9, Home 9-5)
76 65 -10.0 80% Actual:
121 (1)
65 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Schar Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
William & Mary
(15-16, Road 7-8)
64 69 -3.0 61% 135 69 -4.0 80%
Elon
(8-21, Home 4-10)
59 66 +3.0 39% Actual:
123 (-12)
65 +4.0 20%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ford Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Loyola-Chicago
(13-18, Road 4-10)
71 67 -9.0 78% 125 64 -5.0 86%
Evansville
(4-26, Home 2-12)
51 58 +9.0 22% Actual:
122 (-3)
59 +5.0 14%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Webster Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Quinnipiac
(26-7, Road 12-2)
48 61 -15.0 89% 107 64 -23.0 100%
Fairfield
(11-20, Home 5-7)
40 46 +15.0 11% Actual:
88 (-19)
41 +23.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Exactech Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina
(23-10, Road 9-2)
96 77 -15.0 89% 139 80 -22.0 100%
Florida
(8-23, Home 6-9)
77 62 +15.0 11% Actual:
173 (34)
58 +22.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Road 3-8)
46 50 +20.0 6% 120 47 +25.5 0%
Florida State
(24-9, Home 12-4)
78 70 -20.0 94% Actual:
124 (4)
72 -25.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
EagleBank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
VCU
(24-10, Road 8-7)
62 60 -5.0 67% 115 61 -9.5 96%
George Mason
(16-14, Home 10-5)
38 55 +5.0 33% Actual:
100 (-15)
52 +9.5 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McCamish Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech
(22-12, Road 4-6)
68 67 -1.0 54% 133 65 +1.0 39%
Georgia Tech
(17-13, Home 11-3)
76 66 +1.0 46% Actual:
144 (11)
66 -1.0 61%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
State Farm Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan
(22-12, Road 5-9)
70 74 -8.0 76% 140 80 -20.0 100%
Illinois
(10-20, Home 8-9)
56 66 +8.0 24% Actual:
126 (-14)
60 +20.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hulman Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Valparaiso
(8-24, Road 2-12)
59 62 +9.0 22% 133 64 +3.5 22%
Indiana State
(10-19, Home 3-8)
67 71 -9.0 78% Actual:
126 (-7)
67 -3.5 78%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hynes Athletics Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Peter's
(6-24, Road 2-13)
57 55 +2.0 42% 112 48 +16.0 0%
Iona
(5-26, Home 2-13)
61 57 -2.0 58% Actual:
118 (6)
64 -16.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carver-Hawkeye Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Maryland
(29-5, Road 10-2)
73 73 +3.0 39% 149 70 +8.0 6%
Iowa
(29-7, Home 16-0)
86 76 -3.0 61% Actual:
159 (10)
78 -8.0 94%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
JMU Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UNCW
(16-12, Road 5-10)
51 51 +18.0 8% 120 48 +23.5 0%
James Madison
(29-6, Home 18-1)
58 69 -18.0 92% Actual:
109 (-11)
71 -23.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Allen Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas Tech
(14-17, Road 2-9)
75 69 +3.0 39% 141 69 +0.5 51%
Kansas
(13-18, Home 8-8)
71 72 -3.0 61% Actual:
146 (5)
70 -0.5 49%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arkansas
(22-15, Road 6-6)
59 65 +12.0 16% 142 64 +13.0 1%
Kentucky
(25-8, Home 15-3)
61 77 -12.0 84% Actual:
120 (-22)
77 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Tom Gola Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Joseph's
(12-19, Road 4-9)
64 58 -6.0 70% 110 57 -5.5 88%
La Salle
(6-25, Home 3-9)
63 52 +6.0 30% Actual:
127 (17)
52 +5.5 12%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Road 6-5)
79 63 +13.0 14% 139 60 +17.5 0%
Louisville
(32-4, Home 15-1)
73 76 -13.0 86% Actual:
152 (13)
77 -17.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Williams Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Penn State
(12-18, Road 3-8)
67 61 +14.0 12% 136 59 +16.5 0%
Minnesota
(21-11, Home 15-4)
97 75 -14.0 88% Actual:
164 (28)
76 -16.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mizzou Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee
(19-13, Road 6-4)
62 64 +6.0 30% 134 61 +11.0 2%
Missouri
(24-11, Home 12-3)
60 70 -6.0 70% Actual:
122 (-12)
72 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
JQH Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Bradley
(19-10, Road 7-6)
60 64 +12.0 16% 140 58 +24.0 0%
Missouri State
(25-10, Home 9-4)
82 76 -12.0 84% Actual:
142 (2)
82 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pinnacle Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan State
(21-12, Road 3-9)
71 75 +1.0 46% 151 77 -4.5 83%
Nebraska
(14-16, Home 8-6)
82 76 -1.0 54% Actual:
153 (2)
72 +4.5 17%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carmichael Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia
(12-19, Road 2-9)
53 61 +14.0 12% 136 63 +10.0 3%
North Carolina
(18-15, Home 10-4)
70 75 -14.0 88% Actual:
123 (-13)
73 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Value City Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wisconsin
(15-18, Road 1-10)
68 59 +3.0 39% 121 54 +10.5 2%
Ohio State
(14-15, Home 9-6)
70 62 -3.0 61% Actual:
138 (17)
65 -10.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mackey Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northwestern
(21-15, Road 8-8)
58 58 +1.0 46% 117 59 -3.0 77%
Purdue
(19-15, Home 13-4)
61 59 -1.0 54% Actual:
119 (2)
56 +3.0 23%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ryan Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duquesne
(19-13, Road 9-5)
75 69 -7.0 73% 131 75 -21.0 100%
Rhode Island
(8-21, Home 3-11)
58 62 +7.0 27% Actual:
133 (2)
54 +21.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alumni Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Manhattan
(12-19, Road 4-9)
60 53 +6.0 30% 112 49 +14.0 1%
Rider
(19-13, Home 8-6)
57 59 -6.0 70% Actual:
117 (5)
63 -14.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Madison Square Garden Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
DePaul
(26-8, Road 10-2)
70 76 -3.0 61% 149 81 -14.0 99%
Saint John's
(15-16, Home 5-7)
62 73 +3.0 39% Actual:
132 (-17)
67 +14.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Chaifetz Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Richmond
(9-21, Road 1-13)
48 50 +16.0 10% 116 50 +15.0 1%
Saint Louis
(15-16, Home 9-6)
78 66 -16.0 90% Actual:
126 (10)
65 -15.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Walsh Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marquette
(27-8, Road 9-6)
109 86 -15.0 89% 157 87 -19.0 100%
Seton Hall
(15-16, Home 11-4)
63 71 +15.0 11% Actual:
172 (15)
68 +19.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
SIU Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois State
(18-12, Road 7-8)
68 57 +6.0 30% 120 61 -2.0 67%
Southern Illinois
(15-15, Home 9-5)
66 63 -6.0 70% Actual:
134 (14)
59 +2.0 33%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carrier Dome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wake Forest
(10-20, Road 2-9)
57 56 +22.0 5% 134 51 +32.0 0%
Syracuse
(25-9, Home 12-4)
77 78 -22.0 95% Actual:
134 (0)
83 -32.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McGonigle Hall Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cincinnati
(24-11, Road 6-8)
70 67 -3.0 61% 131 70 -10.5 98%
Temple
(11-19, Home 7-4)
78 64 +3.0 39% Actual:
148 (17)
59 +10.5 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Frank Erwin Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas State
(21-12, Road 7-3)
69 57 +12.0 16% 126 61 +3.0 26%
Texas
(23-10, Home 10-6)
60 69 -12.0 84% Actual:
129 (3)
64 -3.0 74%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Mississippi State
(33-3, Road 13-1)
92 77 -13.0 86% 141 73 -6.5 91%
Texas A&M
(26-8, Home 14-3)
64 64 +13.0 14% Actual:
156 (15)
66 +6.5 9%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
SECU Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Charleston
(6-23, Road 2-12)
61 62 +15.0 11% 139 54 +28.5 0%
Towson
(20-13, Home 8-4)
87 77 -15.0 89% Actual:
148 (9)
83 -28.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CFE Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Connecticut
(35-3, Road 12-2)
78 72 -18.0 92% 126 71 -16.0 100%
UCF
(26-7, Home 11-1)
41 54 +18.0 8% Actual:
119 (-7)
55 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pauley Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
California
(20-13, Road 7-7)
74 71 +7.0 27% 149 68 +11.0 2%
UCLA
(22-13, Home 11-5)
80 78 -7.0 73% Actual:
154 (5)
79 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Galen Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Stanford
(31-5, Road 10-3)
69 72 -7.0 73% 137 78 -20.0 100%
USC
(17-13, Home 10-4)
67 65 +7.0 27% Actual:
136 (-1)
58 +20.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
LSU
(16-13, Road 5-6)
79 64 -8.0 76% 120 67 -14.0 99%
Vanderbilt
(7-23, Home 5-9)
68 56 +8.0 24% Actual:
147 (27)
53 +14.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Charles Koch Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
SMU
(11-19, Road 1-10)
42 51 +2.0 42% 104 50 +2.5 29%
Wichita State
(12-18, Home 10-8)
53 53 -2.0 58% Actual:
95 (-9)
53 -2.5 71%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cintas Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Creighton
(15-16, Road 6-9)
53 63 +1.0 46% 127 70 -14.0 99%
Xavier
(11-19, Home 9-9)
52 64 -1.0 54% Actual:
105 (-22)
56 +14.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Beeghly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Milwaukee
(15-15, Road 6-9)
47 54 +12.0 16% 120 56 +7.5 6%
Youngstown State
(20-10, Home 14-1)
67 66 -12.0 84% Actual:
114 (-6)
63 -7.5 94%